Hapoel Haderavs
Maccabi Yavne
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/9/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Yavne · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Hadera 0-0 Maccabi Yavne
Original prediction
Maccabi Yavne
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.80 | 31.9% | 30.7% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.1% | 28.3% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.23 | 40.1% | 41.0% | 1.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.18 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Yavne
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
41.0%
Maccabi Yavne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60