GGOALVIO

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 7/28/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Maccabi Netanya · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hapoel Hadera are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Maccabi Netanya are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Maccabi Netanya hold a 27.9-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 70.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while Maccabi Netanya holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Maccabi Netanya

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

44.6%

Maccabi Netanya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel HaderaWDLWL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Maccabi NetanyaLDWLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel HaderaMaccabi Netanya
40.0Attack75.0
46.7Defence58.3
33.3Form75.0
43.0Power70.9
1.25xG1.87
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