Hapoel Haderavs
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/23/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Hadera 1-0 Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
Original prediction
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:38 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.33 | 38.2% | 32.5% | -5.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 29.1% | 28.5% | -0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.73 | 32.7% | 38.9% | 6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.0–113%
Predicted outcome
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Maccabi Kiryat Malachi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00