GGOALVIO

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 8/13/2023, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Hadera · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hapoel Hadera are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWLW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Maccabi Bnei Raina are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (LDD), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Hadera hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 38.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.5% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while Hapoel Hadera holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Hadera

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Hapoel Hadera has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel HaderaLWLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.50/1.75

BTTS 4/4O2.5 4/4
Maccabi Bnei RainaLDD

GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.67/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
Hapoel HaderaMaccabi Bnei Raina
40.0Attack26.7
46.7Defence60.0
33.3Form20.0
43.0Power38.7
1.34xG1.08
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