GGOALVIO

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 8/6/2024, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hapoel Hadera are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Ashdod are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Ashdod hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (43.0 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.9% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.9%

Model confidence

34.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel HaderaLLWDL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
AshdodWLLWW

GF 11 · GA 14 · avg 2.20/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Hapoel HaderaAshdod
40.0Attack20.0
46.7Defence80.0
33.3Form53.3
43.0Power54.1
1.09xG1.15
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