Hapoel Bnei Musmusvs
Hapoel Ironi Arraba
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/19/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Bnei Musmus · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1-0 Hapoel Ironi Arraba, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1-2 Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Original prediction
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.39 | 64.9% | 57.3% | -7.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.21 | 21.4% | 24.5% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 6.59 | 13.7% | 18.3% | 4.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.7 pts
Projected Score
Hapoel Bnei Musmus 1–0 Hapoel Ironi Arraba
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Probability
57.3%
Model confidence
57.3%
Hapoel Bnei Musmus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 2 · GA 13 · avg 0.40/2.60