Hapoel Beit Sheanvs
Ironi Baka El Garbiya
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/30/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ironi Baka El Garbiya · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Hapoel Beit Shean 0-1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Beit Shean 2-1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya
Original prediction
Ironi Baka El Garbiya
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.26 | 39.6% | 28.3% | -11.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.1% | 28.1% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 33.3% | 43.6% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Projected Score
Hapoel Beit Shean 0–1 Ironi Baka El Garbiya
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Ironi Baka El Garbiya
Probability
43.6%
Model confidence
43.6%
Ironi Baka El Garbiya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20