Hapoel Beit Sheanvs
Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 10/19/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Beit Shean · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Beit Shean 1-1 Hapoel Ironi Karmiel
Original prediction
Hapoel Beit Shean
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 21 September 2026 at 08:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 36.3% | 36.8% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.32 | 26.9% | 28.4% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.42 | 36.8% | 34.8% | -2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.46 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–013%
- 3.1–011%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Beit Shean
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Hapoel Beit Shean has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40