Hapoel Beer Sheva leads with 44% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

Match insights

Hapoel Beer Sheva head into this in Super Cup fixture at Toto Turner Stadium in mixed form (L), while Maccabi Tel Aviv arrive in mixed form (W). Hapoel Beer Sheva have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Maccabi Tel Aviv over 1 games.

Tactically, Maccabi Tel Aviv hold the edge. Their elite attack (94/100) is pitted against a vulnerable Hapoel Beer Sheva defence (6/100), while Hapoel Beer Sheva's attack faces a solid Maccabi Tel Aviv backline. The model flags this as a potential away-team performance.

Hapoel Beer Sheva have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded per home match. Maccabi Tel Aviv have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per away game.

Maccabi Tel Aviv have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects Hapoel Beer Sheva to win with 44% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Hapoel Beer Sheva 4417%, Draw 2300%, Maccabi Tel Aviv 3283%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Recent form

Hapoel Beer Sheva

L

vs Maccabi Tel Aviv

16 Jul 2026

1–3

L

@ Legia Warszawa

7 Jul 2026

1–3

W

@ Hapoel Tel Aviv

15 May 2026

2–0

D

@ Beitar Jerusalem

12 May 2026

1–1

Maccabi Tel Aviv

W

@ Hapoel Beer Sheva

16 Jul 2026

3–1

L

vs Beitar Jerusalem

16 May 2026

1–2

W

vs Maccabi Haifa

13 May 2026

3–0

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