GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa League · 7/17/2025, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Beer Sheva · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hapoel Beer Sheva are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Levski Sofia are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Beer Sheva hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (48.3 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the UEFA Europa League, while Hapoel Beer Sheva holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Probability

36.9%

Model confidence

36.9%

Hapoel Beer Sheva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel Beer ShevaDWDWD

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Levski SofiaDDDWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Hapoel Beer ShevaLevski Sofia
0.0Attack0.0
100.0Defence91.7
33.3Form25.0
48.3Power42.1
1.16xG0.95
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