GGOALVIO

Israel · Toto Cup Ligat Al · 8/18/2024, 4:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Beer Sheva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hapoel Beer Sheva are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Ironi Tiberias are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Ironi Tiberias hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (16.3 v 34.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Toto Cup Ligat Al, while Hapoel Beer Sheva holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

37.8%

Hapoel Beer Sheva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel Beer ShevaLDWDL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Ironi TiberiasLDDWW

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Hapoel Beer ShevaIroni Tiberias
33.3Attack41.7
0.0Defence25.0
0.0Form25.0
16.3Power34.2
1.72xG1.54
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