Hapoel Beer Shevavs
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 9/19/2026, 5:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Beer Sheva · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Beer Sheva 1-0 Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Original prediction
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 64.8% | 55.7% | -9.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.51 | 20.2% | 22.3% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 6.10 | 14.9% | 22.0% | 7.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Probability
55.7%
Model confidence
55.7%
Hapoel Beer Sheva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40