GGOALVIO

Israel · Ligat Ha'al · 9/18/2023, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Beer Sheva · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Hapoel Beer Sheva are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Hapoel Tel Aviv are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Beer Sheva hold a 16.3-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 41.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.7% in the Ligat Ha'al, while Hapoel Beer Sheva holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Probability

59.7%

Model confidence

59.7%

Hapoel Beer Sheva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel Beer ShevaDWLLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel Tel AvivWDDLL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Tel Aviv
50.9Attack35.4
63.0Defence48.5
56.5Form34.3
57.2Power41.0
1.77xG0.68
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