Hapoel Beer Shevavs
Hapoel Haifa
COMPLETEDIsrael · Ligat Ha'al · 9/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Beer Sheva · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-2 Hapoel Haifa
Original prediction
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.40 | 65.4% | 49.2% | -16.2 pts |
| Draw | 4.54 | 20.2% | 25.8% | 5.7 pts |
| Away | 6.33 | 14.5% | 25.0% | 10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Hapoel Beer Sheva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00