GGOALVIO

Israel · Ligat Ha'al · 8/26/2023, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Beer Sheva · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Hapoel Beer Sheva are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Hapoel Hadera are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Beer Sheva hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (57.2 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 61.8% in the Ligat Ha'al, while Hapoel Beer Sheva holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Probability

61.8%

Model confidence

61.8%

Hapoel Beer Sheva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel Beer ShevaLLDDW

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Hapoel HaderaDDLWL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Hadera
50.9Attack28.3
63.0Defence50.5
56.5Form36.4
57.2Power40.7
1.70xG0.55
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