GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Champions League · 8/4/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hapoel Beer Sheva · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hapoel Beer Sheva are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FK Crvena Zvezda are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Beer Sheva hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (70.9 v 61.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the UEFA Champions League, while Hapoel Beer Sheva holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hapoel Beer Sheva

Probability

35.5%

Model confidence

35.5%

Hapoel Beer Sheva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hapoel Beer ShevaWLLDW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FK Crvena ZvezdaWWWWL

GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Hapoel Beer ShevaFK Crvena Zvezda
50.0Attack75.0
83.3Defence75.0
75.0Form50.0
70.9Power61.4
1.37xG1.30
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