Hapoel Beer Shevavs
FK Crvena Zvezda
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Champions League · 8/4/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Beer Sheva · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Hapoel Beer Sheva are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while FK Crvena Zvezda are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Hapoel Beer Sheva hold a 9.5-point power-rating edge (70.9 v 61.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.5% in the UEFA Champions League, while Hapoel Beer Sheva holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Probability
35.5%
Model confidence
35.5%
Hapoel Beer Sheva has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80