Hapoel Beer Shevavs
Dinamo Zagreb
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 9/16/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Dinamo Zagreb · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Beer Sheva 0-0 Dinamo Zagreb
Original prediction
Dinamo Zagreb
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 18:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.78 | 25.0% | 36.5% | 11.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 25.3% | 26.7% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 1.90 | 49.8% | 36.8% | -13.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.74 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Dinamo Zagreb
Probability
36.8%
Model confidence
36.8%
Dinamo Zagreb has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80