Hapoel Azorvs
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Alef · 9/23/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Azor 2-0 Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Original prediction
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.97 | 45.0% | 35.7% | -9.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.20 | 27.8% | 28.2% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 3.27 | 27.2% | 36.1% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–18%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda
Probability
36.1%
Model confidence
36.1%
Hapoel Mahane Yehuda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 2 · GA 3 · avg 0.67/1.00