Hapoel Acrevs
Tira
COMPLETEDIsrael · State Cup · 10/26/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tira · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Acre 5-0 Tira
Original prediction
Tira
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 16 October 2026 at 07:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.39 | 37.3% | 35.7% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.27 | 27.3% | 27.0% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.52 | 35.4% | 37.3% | 1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Tira
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Tira has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Hapoel AcreLLDLL
GF 0 · GA 9 · avg 0.00/1.80
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
TiraWWWWW
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Hapoel AcreTira
50.0Attack100.0
50.0Defence33.3
50.0Form100.0
50.0Power80.3
1.73xG1.86