Hapoel Acrevs
Hapoel Afula
COMPLETEDIsrael · Liga Leumit · 9/24/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hapoel Afula · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hapoel Acre 0-3 Hapoel Afula
Original prediction
Hapoel Afula
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.42 | 20.3% | 19.2% | -1.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 23.8% | 21.2% | -2.6 pts |
| Away | 1.60 | 56.0% | 59.6% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.60 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Hapoel Afula
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
59.6%
Hapoel Afula has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 17 · avg 0.00/3.40
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00