Hanworth Villavs
Chippenham Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 10/20/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hanworth Villa · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (15%), 3-0 (14%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hanworth Villa 1-1 Chippenham Town
Original prediction
Hanworth Villa
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.54 | 58.7% | 74.3% | 15.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.98 | 22.7% | 15.6% | -7.2 pts |
| Away | 4.86 | 18.6% | 10.2% | -8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.98 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–015%
- 2.3–014%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Hanworth Villa
Probability
74.3%
Model confidence
74.3%
Hanworth Villa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60
GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60