Hanworth Villavs
Chichester City
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/29/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hanworth Villa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hanworth Villa 2-1 Chichester City
Original prediction
Hanworth Villa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 15 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 49.1% | 61.2% | 12.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.3% | 20.3% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 3.41 | 26.7% | 18.6% | -8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.85 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Hanworth Villa
Probability
61.2%
Model confidence
61.2%
Hanworth Villa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 7 · avg 3.40/1.40
GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40