Hanworth Villavs
Chertsey Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hanworth Villa · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hanworth Villa 4-1 Chertsey Town
Original prediction
Hanworth Villa
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 36.3% | 38.0% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.6% | 26.4% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.50 | 36.0% | 35.7% | -0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Hanworth Villa
Probability
38.0%
Model confidence
38.0%
Hanworth Villa has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20