GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Hanworth Villa are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (WLLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Chertsey Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Hanworth Villa hold a 8.3-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 80.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Non League Premier - Southern South, favouring a draw with 12.5% confidence, a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

26.6%

Model confidence

12.5%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hanworth VillaWLLD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/2.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Chertsey TownWWLLW

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Hanworth VillaChertsey Town
66.7Attack33.3
100.0Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
88.7Power80.3
1.66xG1.28
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