Hanwell Townvs
Merthyr Town
COMPLETEDEngland · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/5/2025, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hanwell Town are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Hanwell Town hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Merthyr Town
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
39.3%
Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80