GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/19/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Merthyr Town · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hanwell Town are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 3.33 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 5 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hanwell Town hold a 7.6-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.3% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Merthyr Town holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Merthyr Town

Probability

39.3%

Model confidence

39.3%

Merthyr Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hanwell TownWW

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Merthyr TownWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 3.33/1.00

BTTS 2/3O2.5 3/3
Hanwell TownMerthyr Town
66.7Attack67.5
50.0Defence53.2
66.7Form53.2
64.8Power57.2
1.68xG1.84
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