GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/5/2023, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Chesham United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hanwell Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Chesham United are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Chesham United hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 67.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while Chesham United holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Chesham United

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

47.7%

Chesham United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hanwell TownDLLWW

GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Chesham UnitedWWWWW

GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Hanwell TownChesham United
66.7Attack65.9
50.0Defence63.5
66.7Form71.4
64.8Power67.2
1.27xG1.86
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