Hansa Rostockvs
SV Meppen
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 10/13/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hansa Rostock · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (9%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hansa Rostock 0-2 SV Meppen
Original prediction
Hansa Rostock
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 60.5% | 51.6% | -8.9 pts |
| Draw | 4.28 | 21.1% | 24.7% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 4.90 | 18.4% | 23.7% | 5.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–19%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Hansa Rostock
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
51.6%
Hansa Rostock has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 4 · GA 13 · avg 0.80/2.60