Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 10:14
Hansa Rostock

Hansa Rostock

Home
WD
30
Full time
Greifswalder FC

Greifswalder FC

Away
L
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Draw35%
Hansa Rostock34%
Greifswalder FC31%
Prediction missed— Result: Hansa Rostock
Win probability
Hansa Rostock
34%
Draw
35%
Greifswalder FC
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Hansa Rostock
86
Greifswalder FC
9
Defence
Hansa Rostock
66
Greifswalder FC
6
Momentum
Hansa Rostock
67
Greifswalder FC
0
Danger (xG)
Hansa Rostock
2.25
Greifswalder FC
0.00
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.58 xG for Hansa Rostock and 1.38 xG for Greifswalder FC — strong and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.20), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.96 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Hansa Rostock)
2.25
avg per match
xG for (Greifswalder FC)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Hansa Rostock)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Greifswalder FC)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Hansa RostockHansa Rostock
WDW
Greifswalder FCGreifswalder FC
LW

Probability breakdown

37% confidence
Hansa Rostock34%
Draw35%
Greifswalder FC31%

Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Hansa Rostock vs Greifswalder FC: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Hansa Rostock take on Greifswalder FC in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 4 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Head to head

Hansa Rostock 1Draws 00 Greifswalder FC
Avg goals: 3.0
15 Jul 2026
Hansa Rostock
W30
Greifswalder FC

Recent form

Hansa Rostock

Hansa Rostock

W
vs Greifswalder FC
15 Jul 2026
30
D
vs Hvidovre
11 Jul 2026
22
W
@ FC Saarbrücken
16 May 2026
43
Greifswalder FC

Greifswalder FC

L
@ Hansa Rostock
15 Jul 2026
03
W
@ Hertha Zehlendorf
16 May 2026
32

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Hansa Rostock vs Greifswalder FC?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 37% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Hansa Rostock vs Greifswalder FC?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Hansa Rostock vs Greifswalder FC?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Hansa Rostock vs Greifswalder FC?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more