Hansa Rostockvs
Fortuna Düsseldorf
COMPLETEDGermany · 3. Liga · 10/24/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hansa Rostock · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hansa Rostock 1-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf
Original prediction
Hansa Rostock
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:36 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.98 | 45.7% | 45.9% | 0.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.50 | 25.8% | 23.5% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 3.16 | 28.6% | 30.6% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.50 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Hansa Rostock
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Hansa Rostock has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60