GGOALVIO

Germany · 2. Bundesliga · 9/4/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hannover 96 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Hannover 96 2-2 Karlsruher SC

Original prediction

Hannover 96

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5660.2%45.0%-15.2 pts
Draw4.3921.3%25.3%4.0 pts
Away5.0718.5%29.6%11.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.39 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-15.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–28%

Predicted outcome

Hannover 96

Probability

45.0%

Model confidence

45.0%

Hannover 96 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hannover 96WWLLW

GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Karlsruher SCLWDWL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Hannover 96Karlsruher SC
22.2Attack44.4
55.6Defence33.3
33.3Form44.4
40.3Power43.8
1.58xG1.35
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