Hannover 96vs
FC St. Pauli
COMPLETEDGermany · 2. Bundesliga · 10/17/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC St. Pauli · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hannover 96 1-1 FC St. Pauli
Original prediction
FC St. Pauli
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.27 | 40.9% | 29.8% | -11.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.60 | 25.8% | 25.4% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.80 | 33.2% | 44.8% | 11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.60 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–29%
Predicted outcome
FC St. Pauli
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
FC St. Pauli has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80