Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nyköping · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Haninge are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Nyköping are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nyköping hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (62.2 v 65.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.2% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Nyköping holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nyköping
Probability
44.3%
Model confidence
10.2%
Nyköping has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 17 · GA 4 · avg 3.40/0.80
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80