Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haninge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Haninge are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Karlslund are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Haninge hold a 16.6-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.6% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Haninge holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 70% BTTS chance and 79% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haninge
Probability
68.2%
Model confidence
8.6%
Haninge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 13 · avg 2.80/2.60
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60