Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haninge · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-2
Haninge are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Fittja are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Haninge hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 50.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.9% in the Division 2 - Södra Svealand, while Haninge holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haninge
Probability
59.6%
Model confidence
6.9%
Haninge has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60