Haningevs
Djurgardens IF
COMPLETEDSweden · Svenska Cupen · 9/10/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Djurgardens IF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (9%), 1-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Haninge 1-7 Djurgardens IF
Original prediction
Djurgardens IF
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 20.55 | 4.5% | 18.6% | 14.1 pts |
| Draw | 10.85 | 8.5% | 20.1% | 11.7 pts |
| Away | 1.05 | 87.1% | 61.3% | -25.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.05 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–29%
- 3.1–18%
Predicted outcome
Djurgardens IF
Probability
61.3%
Model confidence
61.3%
Djurgardens IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 10 · avg 2.20/2.00
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60