Hangzhou Greentownvs
Yunnan Yukun
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 8/29/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Yunnan Yukun · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hangzhou Greentown 6-0 Yunnan Yukun
Original prediction
Yunnan Yukun
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 47.6% | 38.9% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 23.0% | 19.9% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 3.16 | 29.4% | 41.3% | 11.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
Yunnan Yukun
Probability
41.3%
Model confidence
41.3%
Yunnan Yukun has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 13 · GA 10 · avg 2.60/2.00