Hangzhou Greentownvs
Wuhan Three Towns
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 9/18/2026, 11:35:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hangzhou Greentown · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hangzhou Greentown 4-1 Wuhan Three Towns
Original prediction
Hangzhou Greentown
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.71 | 54.8% | 50.8% | -4.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.23 | 22.1% | 20.6% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 4.04 | 23.1% | 28.6% | 5.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.71 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Hangzhou Greentown
Probability
50.8%
Model confidence
50.8%
Hangzhou Greentown has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40