GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 5/10/2026, 11:35:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tianjin Teda · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hangzhou Greentown are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tianjin Teda are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Tianjin Teda hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Super League, while Tianjin Teda holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tianjin Teda

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Tianjin Teda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hangzhou GreentownWWLLD

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Tianjin TedaDDWLW

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hangzhou GreentownTianjin Teda
49.2Attack47.6
42.9Defence58.7
46.0Form42.9
47.3Power50.7
1.31xG1.51
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