GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 3/8/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hangzhou Greentown · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hangzhou Greentown are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Qingdao Youth Island are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Qingdao Youth Island hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.5% in the Super League, while Hangzhou Greentown holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hangzhou Greentown

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

36.5%

Hangzhou Greentown has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hangzhou GreentownDLDLD

GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Qingdao Youth IslandDLWLD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Hangzhou GreentownQingdao Youth Island
49.2Attack37.7
42.9Defence58.0
46.0Form47.8
47.3Power50.1
1.33xG1.20
View match centre →