GGOALVIO

World · AFC Champions League Elite · 8/22/2023, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hangzhou Greentown · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hangzhou Greentown are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Port FC are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.50 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 7 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hangzhou Greentown hold a 23.1-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the AFC Champions League Elite, while Hangzhou Greentown holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hangzhou Greentown

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Hangzhou Greentown has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hangzhou GreentownDWDWW

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Port FCWD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 2.50/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Hangzhou GreentownPort FC
47.6Attack0.0
38.1Defence66.7
47.6Form0.0
46.8Power23.7
1.65xG1.42
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