Hangzhou Greentownvs
Chongqing Tongliang Long
COMPLETEDChina · Super League · 4/5/2026, 7:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hangzhou Greentown · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Hangzhou Greentown are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chongqing Tongliang Long are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chongqing Tongliang Long hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.2% in the Super League, while Hangzhou Greentown holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hangzhou Greentown
Probability
35.2%
Model confidence
35.2%
Hangzhou Greentown has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60