GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/5/2026, 7:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hangzhou Greentown · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hangzhou Greentown are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDWDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Chongqing Tongliang Long are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Chongqing Tongliang Long hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 49.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.2% in the Super League, while Hangzhou Greentown holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 43% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hangzhou Greentown

Probability

35.2%

Model confidence

35.2%

Hangzhou Greentown has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hangzhou GreentownWDWDL

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Chongqing Tongliang LongDWDWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Hangzhou GreentownChongqing Tongliang Long
49.2Attack36.2
42.9Defence60.9
46.0Form43.5
47.3Power49.5
1.25xG1.15
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