GGOALVIO

China · Super League · 4/17/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Beijing Guoan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Hangzhou Greentown are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Beijing Guoan are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Beijing Guoan hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (47.3 v 58.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the Super League, while Beijing Guoan holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Beijing Guoan

Probability

50.5%

Model confidence

10.9%

Beijing Guoan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hangzhou GreentownLLWDW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Beijing GuoanLLDLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Hangzhou GreentownBeijing Guoan
49.2Attack60.3
42.9Defence57.1
46.0Form54.0
47.3Power58.1
1.33xG1.96
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