Hang Yuenvs
Manila Digger
COMPLETEDWorld · AFC Challenge League · 10/21/2026, 12:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Manila Digger · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hang Yuen 1-1 Manila Digger
Original prediction
Manila Digger
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 12:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.19 | 11.2% | 29.0% | 17.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.13 | 17.8% | 25.3% | 7.5 pts |
| Away | 1.29 | 71.0% | 45.6% | -25.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.13 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Manila Digger
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Manila Digger has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80
GF 13 · GA 0 · avg 2.60/0.00