Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Opava · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hanácká 2-2 Opava
Original prediction
Opava
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.77 | 32.6% | 30.1% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.0% | 25.8% | -2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 39.4% | 44.1% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.22 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Opava
Probability
44.1%
Model confidence
44.1%
Opava has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HanáckáDWLLL
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
OpavaLDDLD
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HanáckáOpava
19.0Attack42.9
33.3Defence42.9
23.8Form28.6
29.3Power40.1
1.13xG1.53