Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Hanau 93 are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Friedberg are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 34.1-point power-rating edge (38.7 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.3% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Friedberg
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
58.3%
Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60