Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Friedberg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Hanau 93 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Friedberg are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Friedberg hold a 34.1-point power-rating edge (38.7 v 72.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 58.3% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Friedberg holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Friedberg
Probability
58.3%
Model confidence
58.3%
Friedberg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 18 · GA 4 · avg 3.60/0.80