Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fernwald · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hanau 93 are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Fernwald are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Fernwald hold a 10.2-point power-rating edge (38.7 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.0% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Fernwald holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fernwald
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
Fernwald has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00