GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Hessen · 11/22/2023, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hanau 93 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Hanau 93 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.80 conceded, while FC 1906 Erlensee are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Hanau 93 hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (38.7 v 34.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the Oberliga - Hessen, while Hanau 93 holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hanau 93

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Hanau 93 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hanau 93WWLLL

GF 12 · GA 14 · avg 2.40/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
FC 1906 ErlenseeWLLDL

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Hanau 93FC 1906 Erlensee
54.9Attack41.2
23.5Defence30.4
33.3Form26.5
38.7Power34.5
2.58xG1.76
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