UEFA Europa Conference League
Hamrun Spartans
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NSI Runavik
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last 5 matchesHamrun SpartansNSI RunavikProbability breakdown
NSI Runavik leads with 39% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Match insights
Hamrun Spartans head into this in UEFA Europa Conference League fixture at Centenary Stadium in mixed form (LD), while NSI Runavik arrive in mixed form (WD). Hamrun Spartans have a 0% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 50% for NSI Runavik over 2 games.
The model rates Hamrun Spartans's attack at 34/100 against a 66/100 NSI Runavik defence, and NSI Runavik's attack at 54/100 against a 46/100 Hamrun Spartans backline — a balanced matchup with neither side holding a clear structural edge.
Hamrun Spartans have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per home match. NSI Runavik have won 2 of their last 3 away fixtures, averaging 2.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per away game.
NSI Runavik have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 2 encounters, with 1 draw, averaging 2.5 goals per game, both teams scored in 2 of those fixtures.
The GoalVio engine projects Hamrun Spartans to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Hamrun Spartans 3620%, Draw 2480%, NSI Runavik 3900%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.
Head to head
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Hamrun Spartans
NSI Runavik
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Hamrun Spartans vs NSI Runavik?
GoalVio's model predicts Hamrun Spartans to win with 39% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Hamrun Spartans vs NSI Runavik?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.
Will both teams score in Hamrun Spartans vs NSI Runavik?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Hamrun Spartans vs NSI Runavik?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.