Hamrun Spartansvs
Mosta
SCHEDULEDMalta · Premier League · 8/17/2026, 6:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hamrun Spartans · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Hamrun Spartans are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Mosta are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hamrun Spartans hold a 34.0-point power-rating edge (77.2 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 20.1% in the Premier League, while Hamrun Spartans holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hamrun Spartans
Probability
80.1%
Model confidence
20.1%
Hamrun Spartans has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20